Online Sports Betting Tips: When to bet on a Big Favorite
Have you ever wondered how sports betting “smart money” was smart money? Do you wonder what football game smart money no different than the amateurs? Sports betting experts arent afraid to bet on a heavy favorite, even if it means giving a lot of points at stake line. To understand this better and see how you can make money with sports betting, take a look at my analysis of Utah St. vs. Nevada game: Utah St. at Nevada -2929 points seems like a very but when youre talking about a team as Nevada, I dont think its enough.One of the reasons we seem to win a large percentage of our games are big favorites because when teams are so completely ndigt mis-matches, which in this game with Nevada and Utah St., its almost impossible for the odds makers to be correct when they set their lines. Actually its not the odds-makers job to be accurate, their job is to put the bar to balance the money on both sides.Most amateur players have a psychological hang on to give as many points. Its just human nature to want to get things, not give them so the lines of “big line” games are often much lower than they should be. This is an example of such a game, in my opinion.Nevada is 8-1 ATS this season, averaging over 32 points per game, has whle Utah St. dropped 48 and 63 points in their last two matches. Nevada has also won their last 5 ATS, and has rushed for a whopping 230, 236 and 222 yards in their last three games.The simple analysis is this: Utah St. isnt will be able to stop Nevada criminal offense to make a lot of points. The only way Utah St. covers is if they score a lot of points, and words will not be likely, when you consider they have # 114: e scoring offense in the country . Add to that the fact that Utah St. not only been bad SU, but theyve also lost five of seven ATS.Nevada is also extremely tough at home, going both 9-1 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. And one last comment, Nevada home field is turf, not grass Utah St. play at home. Utah St. is 0-10 SU in their last 10 games on grass and 3-7 ATS. The turf will enlarge Nevada speed advantage and let Utah St. intervene in the air most of the day. I look to Nevada to run up and down the field, winning easily 48-13.The actual final score in this game was Nevada 42, Utah St. 0.By to repeat this type of analysis again and again anyone serious about sports betting can make big money!
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